Five Premier League betting tips for this weekend
Another enthralling Premier League weekend is upon us as England’s finest prepare for the final round of fixtures before October’s international break.
For some, like Crystal Palace and Manchester United, the stakes are already at an all-time high, while others, such as Arsenal and Liverpool, look to pick up where they left off.
Fans do not have to know in-depth on how to bet on football to comprehend what’s at stake for Oliver Glasner and Erik ten Hag ahead of their team’s encounters against Liverpool and Aston Villa, respectively.
Let’s delve into the five Premier League betting tips we think could give you an edge this weekend, focusing on the key fixtures and form trends shaping up ahead of the international break.
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool [Saturday, 12:30]
Little did anyone know Palace would stare down the barrel of a seven-game winless Premier League start for only the fifth time in club history following an impressive form at the tail-end of the last campaign.
A 2-1 defeat at fellow strugglers Everton last weekend left the Eagles’ confidence in tatters ahead of Liverpool’s ominous-looking visit to Selhurst Park.
The Reds confirmed their purple patch under new boss Arne Slot with a routine 2-0 home win against Bologna in midweek Champions League action, making it eight victories from nine this season (L1).
Despite a 1-0 home defeat in their most recent league clash against Palace, that remains the only blemish on Liverpool’s formidable 14-game H2H record against the London outfit (W11, D2).
At 11/20, the visitors seem a decent value to pour more misery on their out-of-sorts hosts.
Arsenal vs Southampton [Saturday, 15:00]
Mikel Arteta’s title-bidding team needed two unanswered goals in second-half stoppages to see off Leicester City 4-2 at home last time out.
Despite Express Sport’s suspicion that Arteta ‘shot himself in the foot’ by sanctioning Eddie Nketiah’s summer exit, the London giants are flying high.
Their Champions League clash against Paris Saint-Germain on Tuesday evening proved plain sailing, with Arsenal running out 2-0 victors on this ground.
With confidence bursting at the seams, the Gunners take on newcomers Southampton, who have picked up only one point in the opening six league matches.
Unbeaten in a top-flight encounter against the Saints in North London since 1987 (W19, D9 since), the hosts are odds-on to maintain their undefeated Premier League start (W4, D2).
Arsenal’s victory despite a -2 handicap is worth a shot as it comes at 20/19.
Manchester City vs Fulham [Saturday, 15:00]
Delivering action from the get-go, Man City have hauled a league-high ten first-half goals this season, which accounts for 71% of their scoring total (14).
Each of their three home league outings this season has featured 2+ first-half goals, while that same theme highlighted their 4-0 rout of Slovan Bratislava on Tuesday.
Topically, Pep Guardiola’s men were 2-1 up at the break en route to a 5-1 thrashing of Fulham in this corresponding fixture last term.
Meanwhile, one of Fulham’s three road trips in the Premier League this season has contained more than one first-half goal.
At 11/10, we consider ‘over 1.5 first-half goals’ a value bet.
Aston Villa vs Manchester United [Sunday, 14:00]
If anyone questioned Villa’s continental credentials prior to their home clash against Bayern Munich on Wednesday, their 1-0 victory should silence the doubters, proving they can compete with Europe’s elite.
Brimming with confidence amid a seven-game unbeaten run in all competitions (W6, D1), Unai Emery’s charges head into proceedings determined to defy the history books.
Except for a 3-1 win in November 2022, the Lions have failed to beat Man Utd in the Premier League this century, but they look well-positioned to buck that trend on Sunday.
According to Opta, the visitors boast the league’s fifth-highest xG of 10.55 goals despite only netting five across the opening six rounds, including a 3-0 home loss to Tottenham Hotspur last Sunday.
Villa’s potential win could be the end of Erik ten Hag’s tenure at Old Trafford, but at 5/4, we can’t help but see value in backing them to take all three points.
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Tottenham Hotspur [Sunday, 16:30]
Last season’s meeting between these two teams at the Amex Stadium produced a six-goal thriller, with Brighton humbling Spurs 4-2 in December 2023.
That same scoreline condemned the Seagulls to their only league defeat under new manager Fabian Hurzeler last weekend as Cole Palmer’s first-half quadruple propelled Chelsea to a massive win at Stamford Bridge.
As aforementioned, Tottenham swept Man Utd aside in the last round, marking a third consecutive match across all competitions in which they scored precisely three goals.
With Brighton likely to match Spurs’ scoring prowess, ‘over 3.5 goals’ at 9/10 seems to us like a tempting option.